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Tremendous Bowl LVII is nearly right here, and in case you’re like every goal observer, you’ve been watching this matchup on paper for thus lengthy that you just’re second-, triple- and quadruple-guessing your self. The road hasn’t budged in any respect since settling in at Eagles -1.5, and that ought to let you know one factor: Stick to your preliminary ideas.
The betting developments haven’t been sufficient to sway oddsmakers come what may, and it appears like Vegas doesn’t wish to write off the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs due to the Patrick Mahomes variable. So keep on with your intestine as a result of that’s precisely what the sharps are doing.
With that stated, the road signifies a case will be made for each groups, and that’s exactly what I’m going to do.
Philadelphia will get a lead and doesn’t look again
My preliminary intestine feeling was Philly goes to roll. They not often trailed this yr when wholesome and making an attempt, and the playoffs haven’t been any totally different. Each of the Birds’ playoff video games have been over earlier than the half, and as soon as Philly will get momentum, it’s actually all downhill from there for opponents.
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The defensive position is a bear to cope with when the opposition is one-dimensional, they usually like to get after the quarterback. Philly led the NFL in sacks this season with 70, and has accomplished that largely with the entrance 4. They’re within the backside half of the league in blitz proportion, and that’ll assist maintain an already hampered Mahomes and that KC offense contained to methodical, lengthy drives.
If I’m Nick Sirianni, and I win the toss, I’m taking the ball and making an attempt to get the Chiefs in a trailing place from the bounce. The Eagles’ offense is so numerous that it’s close to unimaginable to cease them once they can use the complete playbook.
Add in the specter of Jalen Hurts within the run recreation, and the protection’s solely hope is that discipline place deters the Eagles from going for it on fourth-and-quick. This Philly group completely adores bullying squads, and after a bunch of physique blows that’s once they hit you with massive performs to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.
They’re as assured as they’re scary, and ooze the vibe of a bunch that might win a title largely untested. And that may simply be as a result of few groups, if any, have actually been adequate to truly compete with them.
Kansas Metropolis retains it shut, and Mahomes goes full Rambo
The prevailing argument I’ve seen towards Philly is that they’ve overwhelmed up on a bunch of mongrel QBs all yr, and Mahomes is a purebred. I agree. He simply gained his second MVP, and shouldn’t be doubted after beating Cincinnati on one leg.
The second most spectacular facet of that win towards the Bengals was the Chiefs’ protection. Joe Burrow had the ball twice late within the fourth quarter with an opportunity to go in entrance, and the KC secondary made a play adopted shortly thereafter by Chris Jones and the defensive position. A D-line that, oh by the way in which, is second within the NFL in sacks (albeit 15 lower than the Eagles’ 70).
Jones and Frank Clark headline that unit, which is why it will get talked a couple of ton. Nonetheless, they really completed eighth in rush protection, and that’ll be the important thing for them. Burrow and Josh Allen give Kansas Metropolis suits due to their legs — be it Burrow scrambling for large conversions two weeks in the past, or Allen with the loss of life by a thousand designed QB runs. One thing Philly goes to do fairly a bit I think about.
There’s been hypothesis that Hurts continues to be ailing, however that is the Tremendous Bowl, so I don’t assume he’ll be too deterred from utilizing his legs. Mahomes’ mobility is my important concern with Kansas Metropolis. Ask Brock Purdy if that Eagles entrance 4 fucks round. I don’t know if Mahomes may even go full Rambo with that ankle, and he’s the offense.
Whereas Isiah Pacheco and the offensive line have been super, Andy Reid loathes working the ball. Philly is aware of that in addition to anybody. He can attempt to do the fast passes and shield his QB, however the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers tried that, and each obtained boat-raced. The Eagles are going to be dry-humping Travis Kelce everywhere in the State Farm Stadium discipline, and Mahomes should be even higher than he was within the AFC title recreation. If he’s, it’ll be some God-level quarterbacking, and that’s simply to maintain it shut not to mention win.
That’s what I’m rooting for as a result of it’d be implausible to look at, and, y’know, fuck the Eagles. Be that as it could, if I needed to put cash on it, Philly covers of their sleep.
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