How the Boston Bruins might presumably lose within the playoffs
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Whereas Gary Bettman may not assume there’s something unsuitable with the present playoff system (he’s unsuitable!), it’s fairly clear that this set-up has robbed March and the primary half of April of most of its drama. We’re principally all the way down to seeing whether or not a wheezing Penguins staff (whoops!) can maintain their lunch down simply lengthy sufficient to carry off a completely unimpressive Panthers staff out of the wildcard spots, and a few seeding points between the Devils and Canes and the Pacific Division. To be truthful, if the NHL have been utilizing a conference-based system it wouldn’t look an excessive amount of totally different than it does now, it will simply really feel higher and make extra sense.
No matter. Hockey has all the time been centered on its playoffs, and so we could be. And the principle query this spring might be can anybody derail the unholy pressure that the Boston Bruins have been? Some wish to concentrate on the wobble the Bs had on the finish of February once they misplaced three of 4, and since then they’ve gone… 15-3-0. So yeah, that wasn’t actually a factor.
The Bruins must stay fairly scorching to match the file of 132 factors in a season (1976-1977 Habs), and will flip off the jets for a relaxation to fall wanting the Lighting’s 128 factors from 4 years in the past. But it surely stays that no staff will enter the NHL playoffs as massive of a favourite and feeling like Godzilla roaming the countryside since that Lightning staff because the Bruins will in three weeks’ time.
That mentioned, that Lightning staff proceeded to carry out one of many greatest full-body dry heaves in playoff historical past once they have been swept out of the primary spherical by Columbus. It’s hockey, nothing is ever sure and the top is all the time close to. So what would possibly take the Bruins down?
William Regal would say, “Man within the masks”
(I miss my weekly Regal-Excalibur exchanges)
When the Lightning spit up a planet-sized hairball to the Jackets in 2019, the largest cause was Andrei Vasilevskiy placing up a .856 save proportion. Nothing sinks a fantastic staff faster than a goalie who turns into Cease Making Sense-era David Byrne in internet.
Linus Ullmark might be going to take dwelling the Vezina Trophy, and rightly so. He additionally has two video games price of expertise within the playoffs, which got here final 12 months, and so they didn’t go effectively. Ullmark wouldn’t be the primary goalie to observe his first dominant season with one thing of a whiff within the playoffs. Particularly if the Bruins draw the Islanders within the first spherical, who will sport a doable Vezina runner-up in Ilya Sorokin and the margins is perhaps tight.
Even when Ullmark have been to falter, the Bruins have Jeremy Swayman in reserve who has began 30 video games and has a .920 save proportion. Swayman performed 5 of the Bruins’ seven video games within the first spherical final season in opposition to Carolina and was principally high quality with a .911. They’re about as buffered as will be in opposition to a goalie hiccup, however when issues go unsuitable it’s all the time the primary level of investigation within the autopsy.
The skinny small blue line
We’re already stretching right here, which is a sign of simply how stable the Bruins are constructed. The Bs’ success is constructed on the fleetness and dexterity of their blue-liners, provided that they’ll sport 4 or 5 d-men who can actually transfer and are good with the puck for the reason that acquisition of Dmitry Orlov. Most groups might need two, however the Bruins can have a participant on the ice for all 60 minutes that may skate themselves and the staff out of bother.
Nonetheless, it’s not the largest crew round. So if the Bruins have been to come back up in opposition to, say, a reasonably conservative staff that was solely too joyful to repeatedly dump the puck into the Bruins zone after which paste the Bruins protection up in opposition to the boards shift after shift for an entire collection (hello there, Islanders), that might get wearisome after 5 or 6 video games. If nothing else, that might maintain the margins in video games fairly tight, and when that occurs HOCKEY! can flip video games over to the underdog for no good cause in any respect.
Nonetheless, it’s exhausting to see this strategy working in opposition to a staff as deep at protection because the Bruins are. Perhaps an opponent could make Charlie McAvoy aggravated or hesitant. Perhaps even Hampus Lindholm. However the Bs nonetheless sport Matt Grzelcyk and Orlov. They nearly all the time will have the ability to evade third and fourth liners they face and beat them again up the ice to open up issues for the forwards. It’s a risk that this might work for parts of video games, however not all that seemingly for an entire collection.
Statler and Waldorf are their #1 and #2 facilities
Once more, that is one other actual stretch, given how good Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci have been this season. Boston has backed Bergeron’s minutes off this season a contact, he’s averaging 11:35 of even-strength time versus being over at the very least 12 minutes per sport for the earlier 12 seasons (he’s been round a bit!). Krejci’s use can also be a contact down from most of his profession, although he’s averaging extra time at even-strength than Bergeron, however he doesn’t kill penalties anymore.
However hey, they’re 37 and 36 respectively, and 4 rounds and two months of playoff video games is usually a lot for gamers far youthful. Each of those guys are confirmed playoff performers, Krejci has one way or the other managed to steer the playoffs in scoring twice in his profession with out profitable a Conn Smythe Trophy. It was 4 years in the past they have been the highest two facilities for an additional Bruins staff making it to Sport 7 of the Closing. However 4 years will be a very long time in hockey, and these previous bones must deal with some mixture of Stamkos-Level, Matthews-Tavares/O’Reilly even to only get out of the division, after which Zibenajad-Trocheck of the Rangers, or Hughes-Hischier, or Aho-Staal of Carolina. One doesn’t merely stroll out of the Jap Convention this 12 months.
That doesn’t imply Bergeron and Krejci aren’t able to managing it, and there’s no higher supporting forged. However you’d be hard-pressed to search out one other staff with their high two facilities with this a lot mileage on the odometers going all the way in which.
Even this weak case may very well be simply swatted apart when you think about that the Bs would possibly simply as effectively draw the Penguins or Panthers within the first spherical, every of whom they’d completely muller. That would depart no matter’s left of whoever crawls out of one other demise match between the Lightning and Leafs. They may very well be contemporary as a daisy earlier than whoever is neglected of the Atlantic Division.
However ought to it go balls-up, there’s the roadmap, kinda.
For extra inane hockey ideas or simply anti-Olczyk rants, observe Sam Fels on Twitter @Felsgate
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