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PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by The Hollywood Reporter’s government editor of awards, Scott Feinberg, displays Feinberg’s finest try and predict the conduct of the Academy of Movement Image Arts and Sciences, not his private preferences. He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and business insiders, evaluation of promoting and awards campaigns, outcomes of awards ceremonies that precede the Oscars and the historical past of the Oscars ceremony itself.
*BEST PICTURE*
Projected Order of End
1. The whole lot In all places All at As soon as (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert & Jonathan Wang)
2. High Gun: Maverick (Jerry Bruckheimer, Tom Cruise, David Ellison & Christopher McQuarrie) — podcast (Bruckheimer)
3. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Malte Grunert)
4. The Fabelmans (Kristie Macosko Krieger, Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
5. The Banshees of Inisherin (Graham Broadbent, Peter Czernin & Martin McDonagh)
6. Tár (Todd Discipline, Scott Lambert & Alexandra Milchan)
7. Elvis (Gail Berman, Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Pamela McCormick & Schuyler Weiss)
8. Avatar: The Method of Water (James Cameron & Jon Landau)
9. Triangle of Unhappiness (Philppe Bober & Erik Hemmendorff)
10. Girls Speaking (Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner & Frances McDormand)
*BEST DIRECTOR*
1. Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (The whole lot In all places All at As soon as)
2. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) — podcast
3. Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) — podcast coming this week
4. Todd Discipline (Tár)
5. Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Unhappiness)
*BEST ACTOR*
Projected Order of End
1. Austin Butler (Elvis)
2. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) — podcast
4. Invoice Nighy (Residing)
5. Paul Mescal (Aftersun)
*BEST ACTRESS*
Projected Order of End
1. Cate Blanchett (Tár) — podcast 1 and 2
2. Michelle Yeoh (The whole lot In all places All at As soon as) — podcast
3. Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)
4. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans) — podcast
5. Ana de Armas (Blonde)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR*
Projected Order of End
1. Ke Huy Quan (The whole lot In all places All at As soon as) — podcast coming this week
2. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
3. Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
4. Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
5. Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS*
Projected Order of End
1. Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly) — podcast
2. Jamie Lee Curtis (The whole lot In all places All at As soon as)
3. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
4. Stephanie Hsu (The whole lot In all places All at As soon as) — podcast
5. Hong Chau (The Whale)
*BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY*
Projected Order of End
1. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell)
2. Girls Speaking (Sarah Polley)
3. Residing (Kazuo Ishiguro) — podcast
4. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Rian Johnson)
5. High Gun: Maverick (Ehren Kruger, Christopher McQuarrie & Eric Warren Singer)
*BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY*
Projected Order of End
1. The whole lot In all places All at As soon as (Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert)
2. The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh) — podcast coming this week
3. Tár (Todd Discipline)
4. The Fabelmans (Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
5. Triangle of Unhappiness (Ruben Östlund)
*BEST ANIMATED FEATURE*
Projected Order of End
1. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Alex Bulkley, Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson & Gary Ungar) — podcast 1 and 2 (del Toro)
2. Turning Purple (Lindsey Collins & Domee Shi)
3. Marcel the Shell with Sneakers On (Dean Fleischer Camp, Andrew Goldman, Elisabeth Holm, Caroline Kaplan & Paul Mezey)
4. Puss in Boots: The Final Want (Joel Crawford & Mark Swift)
5. The Sea Beast (Jed Schlanger & Chris Williams)
*BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE*
Projected Order of End
1. Navalny (Diane Becker, Shane Boris, Melanie Miller, Odessa Rae & Daniel Roher)
2. Fireplace of Love (Shane Boris, Sara Dosa & Ina Fichman)
3. All of the Magnificence and the Bloodshed (Howard Gertler, Nan Goldin, Yoni Golijov, John Lyons & Laura Poitras)
4. All That Breathes (Teddy Leifer, Aman Mann & Shaunak Sen)
5. A Home Manufactured from Splinters (Monica Hellström & Simon Lereng Wilmont)
*BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE*
Projected Order of End
1. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Germany) — Edward Berger
2. EO (Poland) — Jerzy Skolimowski
3. Shut (Belgium) — Lukas Dhont
4. Argentina, 1985 (Argentina) — Santiago Mitre
5. The Quiet Woman (Eire) — Colm Bairéad
*BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY*
Projected Order of End
1. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (James Buddy)
2. Elvis (Mandy Walker)
3. Tár (Florian Hoffmeister)
4. Empire of Gentle (Roger Deakins)
5. Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Darius Khondji)
*BEST COSTUME DESIGN*
Projected Order of End
1. Elvis (Catherine Martin)
2. Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Ruth E. Carter) — podcast
3. The whole lot In all places All at As soon as (Shirley Kurata)
4. Babylon (Mary Zophres)
5. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Jenny Beavan)
*BEST FILM EDITING*
Projected Order of End
1. The whole lot In all places All at As soon as (Paul Rogers)
2. High Gun: Maverick (Eddie Hamilton)
3. Elvis (Matt Villa & Jonathan Redmond)
4. The Banshees of Inisherin (Mikkel E. G. Nielsen)
5. Tár (Monika Willi)
*BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING*
Projected Order of End
1. Elvis (Jason Baird, Mark Coulier & Aldo Signoretti)
2. The Whale (Anne Marie Bradley, Judy Chin & Adrien Morot)
3. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Linda Eisenhamerová & Heike Merker)
4. The Batman (Naomi Donne, Mike Fontaine & Mike Marino)
5. Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Camille Buddy & Joel Harlow)
*BEST ORIGINAL SCORE*
Projected Order of End
1. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Volker Bertelmann)
2. Babylon (Justin Hurwitz)
3. The whole lot In all places All at As soon as (Son Lux)
4. The Fabelmans (John Williams)
5. The Banshees of Inisherin (Carter Burwell)
*BEST ORIGINAL SONG*
Projected Order of End
1. “Naatu Naatu” (RRR) — Chandrabose & M.M. Keeravaani
2. “Elevate Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly) — Ryan Coogler, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna & Tems
3. “Maintain My Hand” (High Gun: Maverick) — BloodPop & Girl Gaga — podcast 1 and 2 (Gaga)
4. “This Is a Life” (The whole lot In all places All at As soon as) — David Byrne, Ryan Lott & Mitski — podcast (Byrne)
5. “Applause” (Inform It Like a Lady) — Diane Warren — podcast 1, 2 and 3
*BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN*
Projected Order of End
1. Babylon (Anthony Carlino & Florencia Martin)
2. Elvis (Bev Dunn, Catherine Martin & Karen Murphy)
3. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Christian M. Goldbeck & Ernestine Hipper)
4. The Fabelmans (Rick Carter & Karen O’Hara)
5. Avatar: The Method of Water (Dylan Cole, Vanessa Cole & Ben Procter)
*BEST SOUND*
Projected Order of End
1. Elvis (Michael Keller, David Lee, Andy Nelson & Wayne Pashley)
2. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Lars Ginzel, Stefan Korte, Frank Kruse, Viktor Prášil & Markus Stemler)
3. High Gun: Maverick (Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Mark Taylor & Mark Weingarten)
4. Avatar: The Method of Water (Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Julian Howarth, Gary Summers & Gwendolyn Yates Whittle)
5. The Batman (William Recordsdata, Douglas Murray, Andy Nelson & Mark Weingarten)
*BEST VISUAL EFFECTS*
Projected Order of End
1. Avatar: The Method of Water (Richard Baneham, Daniel Barrett, Joe Letteri & Eric Saindon)
2. High Gun: Maverick (Scott R. Fisher, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson & Ryan Tudhope)
3. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Markus Frank, Kamil Jafar, Viktor Müller & Frank Petzoid)
4. Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, Dan Sudick & Chris White)
5. The Batman (Russell Earl, Anders Langlands, Dan Lemmon & Dominic Tuohy)
*BEST ANIMATED SHORT*
Projected Order of End
1. The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (Matthew Freud & Charlie Mackesy)
2. An Ostrich Informed Me the World Is Pretend and I Suppose I Imagine It (Lachlan Pendragon)
3. My Yr of Dicks (Sara Gunnarsdóttir & Pamela Ribbon)
4. The Flying Sailor (Amanda Forbis & Wendy Tilby)
5. Ice Retailers (Bruno Caetano & Joao Gonzalez)
*BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT*
Projected Order of End
1. Stranger on the Gate (Conall Jones & Joshua Seftel)
2. The Martha Mitchell Impact (Anne Alvergue & Beth Levison)
3. How Do You Measure a Yr? (Jay Rosenblatt)
4. The Elephant Whisperers (Kartiki Gonsalves & Guneet Monga)
5. Haulout (Maxim Arbugaev & Evgenia Arbugaeva)
*BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT*
Projected Order of End
1. Le Pupille (Alfonso Cuarón & Alice Rohrwacher) — podcast 1 and 2 (Cuarón)
2. The Purple Suitcase (Cyrus Neshvad)
3. An Irish Goodbye (Tom Berkely & Ross White)
4. Night time Journey (Gaute Lid Larssen & Eirik Tveiten)
5. Ivalu (Rebecca Pruzan & Anders Walter)
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